SERIE A 2025/26
AC Milan

AC Milan

Home
VS
Sun 10 May
18:45 GMT
Atalanta

Atalanta

Away
2% Home6% Draw92% Away
Full Time
2 - 3
Atalanta win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 10 May 2026 · 8 min read

AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Serie A 10 May 2026

Can AC Milan overcome their poor form and secure a crucial win against Atalanta to keep their Champions League hopes alive?

2%
92%
AC Milan
Draw 6%
Atalanta

What's at Stake

Atalanta, meanwhile, have had a mid-season renaissance, but their form has also petered out in recent weeks. They will be looking to capitalize on Milan's struggles and secure a win to boost their own European hopes. The visitors have a good record against Milan, and they will be confident of getting a positive result.

Form & Team News

The Rossoneri have also been struggling defensively, conceding six goals in their last five games. This lack of solidity at the back has made it difficult for the team to build momentum and secure wins. Against Atalanta's potent attack, Milan will need to be more resilient and organized if they are to keep a clean sheet.

Key Numbers
1.3
AC Milan xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.2
Atalanta xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

This fixture has often been closely contested, with both teams creating chances and scoring goals. The last meeting between the two sides ended in a draw, and a similar outcome is possible on Sunday. However, given the current form and momentum of the two teams, Atalanta may have a slight edge.

Key Stats

  • AC Milan have scored just one goal in their last five games
  • Atalanta have won four and lost none of their last six meetings against Milan
  • The head-to-head record between the two teams is evenly balanced, with both sides averaging 1.0 goal per game
  • Atalanta have scored six goals in their last five games, while Milan have conceded six
  • The visitors have a shot efficiency of 13.2 shots per goal, compared to Milan's 48.0
  • The predicted outcome is a draw, but an Atalanta win is also a possibility
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