EREDIVISIE 2025/26
Ajax

Ajax

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VS
Sat 02 May
18:00 GMT
PSV

PSV

Away
19% Home31% Draw50% Away
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 02 May 2026 · 8 min read

Ajax vs PSV Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Eredivisie 02 May 2026

Ajax face a tough test against Eredivisie leaders PSV, who are looking to extend their lead at the top of the table

19%
31%
50%
Ajax
Draw 31%
PSV

What's at Stake

The league table is tightly packed, with only a few points separating the top four teams. A win for Ajax would see them move up to third place, while a loss would see them drop to fifth. The implications of this match are huge, and both teams will be giving it their all to come out on top.

Form & Team News

The numbers suggest that PSV have the edge in this match, with a higher Elo rating and a better goal difference. They have also been more clinical in front of goal, with a shot efficiency of 5.6 compared to Ajax's 5.7.

Key Numbers
1.4
Ajax xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.9
PSV xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

Ajax have been unbeaten in their last four meetings against PSV, but they will be facing a tough test against a team that has been in top form. PSV have been scoring goals for fun, and their attack will be a handful for the Ajax defense to handle.

Our Prediction

The match is expected to be a closely contested one, with both teams creating chances and fighting for every ball. However, I think PSV's experience and quality will give them the edge they need to win the match.

AI Prediction
Away Win
Most likely: 1-1
50%
confidence

Key Stats

  • PSV have won their last three games, scoring 15 goals in the process
  • Ajax have been struggling with injuries, with several key players missing games
  • The head-to-head record is closely contested, with four PSV wins, three Ajax victories, and three draws in the last 10 meetings
  • PSV have a superior Elo rating, with 1662 compared to Ajax's 1544
  • The match is expected to be a high-scoring one, with an xG of 1.39 for Ajax and 1.93 for PSV
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