Deportivo Alavés vs Villarreal Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — La Liga 13 Mar 2026

Villarreal sit 4th, inside the Champions League places, and will view this as an opportunity to consolidate their position. For Deportivo Alavés in 16th, this is a chance to make a statement against one of the league’s top sides — the kind of result that can shift momentum for the rest of the campaign.

Don’t expect a goal-fest here. With a combined projected xG of 2.7, this has the makings of a cagey, tactical affair where defensive discipline could prove the difference.

Deportivo Alavés’s form coming into this match has been poor, averaging 0.3 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 5 and conceded 10 in their last five outings.

Villarreal arrive in fine fettle, averaging 1.9 points per game from their last five. However, their defensive record is a concern — 8 conceded in five games, a vulnerability Deportivo Alavés will look to exploit.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. Villarreal’s Elo rating (1598) is 198 points higher than Deportivo Alavés’s (1400), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

The historical record between Deportivo Alavés and Villarreal will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.