Antalyaspor vs Alanyaspor Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Super Lig 03 May 2026

Antalyaspor (16th) welcome Alanyaspor (12th) in a Super Lig fixture where both sides will be eager to climb the table. The hosts have 28 points on the board, while Alanyaspor sit on 33 — neither can afford to let standards slip with the business end of the season approaching.

Don’t expect a goal-fest here. With a combined projected xG of 2.6, this has the makings of a cagey, tactical affair where defensive discipline could prove the difference.

Antalyaspor’s form coming into this match has been solid, averaging 0.5 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 5 and conceded 8 in their last five outings.

Alanyaspor arrive in fine fettle, averaging 0.7 points per game from their last five. They’ve scored 9 and conceded 6 in their last five outings.

The historical record between Antalyaspor and Alanyaspor will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

This is about as tight as it gets in our predictions. Antalyaspor are given a 27% chance, Alanyaspor 36%, and the draw 36%. When the probabilities are this close, it’s a game that could go any way, and picking a winner with confidence is virtually impossible.

The expected goals model projects Antalyaspor at 1.3 xG and Alanyaspor at 1.2 xG. The most likely scoreline according to our Poisson model is 1-1 (13% probability), followed by 1-0 (9%).