PREMIER LEAGUE 2025/26
Arsenal

Arsenal

Home
VS
Sun 01 Mar
16:30 GMT
Chelsea

Chelsea

Away
52% Home30% Draw17% Away
Full Time
2 - 1
Arsenal win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 01 Mar 2026 · 8 min read

Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Premier League 01 Mar 2026

London derby showdown at Emirates Stadium, where Arsenal's potent attack faces a Chelsea defense weakened by suspensions and injuries

52%
30%
17%
Arsenal
Draw 30%
Chelsea

What's at Stake

Arsenal are sitting comfortably at the top of the Premier League table, with a significant gap to their rivals, and a win here would further solidify their position. Chelsea, on the other hand, are fighting to stay in the top six and a loss could see them drop further down the table. The implications of this match are huge, with the winner gaining a significant advantage in the league standings.

The league leaders have a five-point cushion at the top, and their goal difference of +35 is a testament to their dominance this season. Chelsea are 10 points behind Arsenal and need a win to keep their slim title hopes alive.

A victory for Arsenal would be a major statement, proving their title credentials and showing they can handle the pressure of being at the top. For Chelsea, a win would be a massive upset and a huge boost to their confidence.

The match has significant implications for the top four, with Chelsea looking to close the gap on the teams above them and Arsenal seeking to maintain their lead. The result could also impact the relegation battle, as a Chelsea win could give hope to the teams at the bottom of the table.

The title race is heating up, and this match is a crucial one for both teams. Arsenal are in pole position, but Chelsea can still cause an upset and change the dynamics of the league table.

Form & Team News

Arsenal have been in impressive form, scoring 14 goals in their last five matches and conceding just four. They have a number of players in form, with 60% of their squad performing well. Ben White and Riccardo Calafiori are the only injury doubts for Mikel Arteta's side, but White has given a positive update on his fitness.

Chelsea have also been scoring freely, with 12 goals in their last five matches, but they have been struggling defensively, conceding seven goals in the same period. They have a similar percentage of players in form to Arsenal, with 60% of their squad performing well.

The recent form of both teams suggests that this match will be an open and attacking one, with both sides looking to outscore each other. Arsenal's attack has been particularly potent, with their shot efficiency of 4.9 shots per goal being one of the best in the league.

Key Numbers
2.1
Arsenal xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.0
Chelsea xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The head-to-head record between Arsenal and Chelsea is evenly matched, with both teams having a similar record in recent meetings. However, Arsenal's home form has been impressive, and they will be looking to use this to their advantage.

The historical record between the two teams suggests that this match will be a close and competitive one, with both sides having a good chance of winning. The average goals scored in meetings between the two teams is 1.5, with Arsenal scoring an average of 1.0 goals per match and Chelsea scoring an average of 0.5 goals per match.

Key Stats

  • Arsenal have scored 14 goals in their last five matches
  • Chelsea have conceded seven goals in their last five matches
  • Arsenal have a shot efficiency of 4.9 shots per goal
  • Chelsea have a 60% player form rate
  • Arsenal have a five-point cushion at the top of the Premier League table
  • The average goals scored in meetings between the two teams is 1.5
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