PREMIER LEAGUE 2025/26
Arsenal

Arsenal

Home
VS
Sat 14 Mar
17:30 GMT
Everton

Everton

Away
97% Home2% Draw1% Away
Full Time
2 - 0
Arsenal win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 14 Mar 2026 · 8 min read

Arsenal vs Everton Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Premier League 14 Mar 2026

Goals expected in this Premier League clash — our model projects 2.1 vs 0.9 xG with Arsenal given a 60% chance.

97%
Arsenal
Draw 2%
Everton

What's at Stake

Arsenal sit 1st, top of the table, and will view this as an opportunity to consolidate their position. For Everton in 8th, this is a chance to make a statement against one of the league’s top sides — the kind of result that can shift momentum for the rest of the campaign.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 2.1 expected goals for Arsenal and 0.9 for Everton, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Form & Team News

Arsenal’s form coming into this match has been blistering, averaging 2.5 points per game from their last five fixtures. The goals have been flowing — 10 in their last five matches — though 5 conceded does suggest some vulnerabilities at the back.

Everton arrive in fine fettle, averaging 1.9 points per game from their last five. They’ve scored 8 and conceded 6 in their last five outings.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. Arsenal’s Elo rating (1642) is 139 points higher than Everton’s (1503), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

Key Numbers
2.1
Arsenal xG
vs
Expected Goals
0.9
Everton xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between Arsenal and Everton will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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