PREMIER LEAGUE 2025/26
Arsenal

Arsenal

Home
VS
Sat 25 Apr
16:30 GMT
Newcastle United

Newcastle United

Away
68% Home17% Draw16% Away
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 25 Apr 2026 · 8 min read

Arsenal vs Newcastle United Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Premier League 25 Apr 2026

Gunners look to shake off Carabao Cup final defeat against struggling Newcastle

68%
17%
16%
Arsenal
Draw 17%
Newcastle United

What's at Stake

A win for Arsenal would put pressure on their title rivals, while a loss would give Newcastle a much-needed boost in their relegation battle. The Magpies have suffered three straight defeats and are in desperate need of a win to move away from the relegation zone.

Form & Team News

Arsenal's injury crisis is a major concern, with multiple key players withdrawing from international duty due to injuries. Mikel Arteta will need to find a way to cope with these injuries and get his team back to winning ways.

Key Numbers
2.3
Arsenal xG
vs
Expected Goals
0.8
Newcastle United xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The past meetings between the two teams have been closely contested, with an average of 2.1 goals scored by Arsenal and 0.5 goals scored by Newcastle in the last 10 meetings.

Our Prediction

The Gunners have the quality and depth to overcome their injury concerns and secure a win against Newcastle. Mikel Arteta's team will be looking to dominate possession and create scoring opportunities, and they should have enough to get the three points.

AI Prediction
Home Win
Most likely: 2-0
68%
confidence

Key Stats

  • Arsenal have a 67.5% win probability
  • Newcastle have conceded 9 goals in their last 5 games
  • Arsenal have scored 5 goals in their last 5 games
  • The Gunners have a 173-point Elo rating gap over Newcastle
  • Newcastle have a poor shot efficiency, with 10.6 shots per goal in their last 5 games
  • Arsenal have won the last two encounters against Newcastle
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