FC Augsburg vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Bundesliga 22 Mar 2026

VfB Stuttgart sit 4th, inside the Champions League places, and will view this as an opportunity to consolidate their position. For FC Augsburg in 10th, this is a chance to make a statement against one of the league’s top sides — the kind of result that can shift momentum for the rest of the campaign.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 1.3 expected goals for FC Augsburg and 2.0 for VfB Stuttgart, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

FC Augsburg’s form coming into this match has been inconsistent, averaging 1.4 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 7 and conceded 6 in their last five outings.

VfB Stuttgart arrive in fine fettle, averaging 2.2 points per game from their last five. They’ve scored 13 and conceded 6 in their last five outings.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. VfB Stuttgart’s Elo rating (1569) is 131 points higher than FC Augsburg’s (1437), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

The historical record between FC Augsburg and VfB Stuttgart will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

Our model gives VfB Stuttgart the edge at 57%, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. FC Augsburg carry a 17% chance of springing a surprise, and with the draw at 24%, any of the three outcomes is a realistic possibility. The bookmakers tell a similar story — this is a match where the margins are fine.

The expected goals model projects FC Augsburg at 1.3 xG and VfB Stuttgart at 2.0 xG. The most likely scoreline according to our Poisson model is 1-1 (9% probability), followed by 1-2 (9%).