EREDIVISIE 2025/26
AZ

AZ

Home
VS
Sun 12 Apr
14:45 GMT
SC Heerenveen

SC Heerenveen

Away
97% Home2% Draw1% Away
Full Time
3 - 0
AZ win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 12 Apr 2026 · 8 min read

AZ vs SC Heerenveen Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Eredivisie 12 Apr 2026

Injury-hit Heerenveen face tough test at AZ's stronghold

97%
AZ
Draw 2%
SC Heerenveen

What's at Stake

AZ and SC Heerenveen clash in a crucial Eredivisie match, with both teams vying for a top-8 finish. The outcome of this game could significantly impact the league table, as AZ currently sit in 6th place and Heerenveen in 7th. A win for either side would provide a substantial boost to their European ambitions.

With 39.7% win probability, AZ have a slight edge over Heerenveen's 26.4%.

Form & Team News

AZ have been inconsistent in their recent run, scoring 7 and conceding 7 goals in their last 5 games. Heerenveen, on the other hand, have impressed, scoring 13 and conceding just 5 in the same period. The loss of key midfielder Levi Smans to a serious knee injury will be a significant blow to Heerenveen's creative output.

AZ's home form has been strong, but they will need to be cautious against a Heerenveen side that has been scoring freely.

Key Numbers
1.8
AZ xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.3
SC Heerenveen xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The head-to-head record between these two teams suggests a high-scoring encounter, with an average of 2.5 goals for AZ and 2.0 for Heerenveen. The last few meetings have been closely contested, and this match is expected to follow a similar pattern. Heerenveen's ability to score goals will be put to the test against an AZ side that has been solid at the back.

Key Stats

  • AZ have a 39.7% win probability
  • Heerenveen have scored 13 goals in their last 5 games
  • AZ's home form has seen them win all of their last 6 matches
  • Heerenveen's shot efficiency is 5.6, significantly better than AZ's 9.7
  • The head-to-head record averages 4.5 goals per game
  • AZ's Elo rating is 1511, just below Heerenveen's 1531
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