Belgium vs Senegal Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — FIFA World Cup 2026 01 Jul 2026

Belgium welcome Senegal in this FIFA World Cup 2026 fixture with both sides looking to pick up vital points. With the season well underway, every result carries increased significance.

Don’t expect a goal-fest here. With a combined projected xG of 2.6, this has the makings of a cagey, tactical affair where defensive discipline could prove the difference.

Belgium’s form coming into this match has been excellent, averaging 2.2 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve been particularly impressive at both ends, scoring 14 goals and conceding just 3 in their last five.

Senegal arrive averaging 1.6 points per game from their last five. They’ve scored 17 and conceded 6 in their last five outings.

The historical record between Belgium and Senegal will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

Our AI model makes Belgium clear favourites here, giving them a 66% chance of winning. That leaves Senegal with just a 13% probability of pulling off a result, while the draw sits at 20%. This is one of the more lopsided predictions of the matchday — the data sees a clear gap between these two sides.

The expected goals model projects Belgium at 1.9 xG and Senegal at 0.7 xG. The most likely scoreline according to our Poisson model is 1-0 (13% probability), followed by 2-0 (13%).