SERIE A 2025/26
Bologna

Bologna

Home
VS
Sun 03 May
10:30 GMT
Cagliari

Cagliari

Away
45% Home31% Draw24% Away
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 03 May 2026 · 8 min read

Bologna vs Cagliari Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Serie A 03 May 2026

Can Bologna bounce back from consecutive defeats against a Cagliari side fighting for Serie A survival?

45%
31%
24%
Bologna
Draw 31%
Cagliari

What's at Stake

Bologna's recent decline has been marked by a lack of goals, failing to score in their last two Serie A matches. Ending this barren spell will be crucial against a Cagliari side that, despite their struggles, have shown they can find the net, scoring five goals in their last five games.

Form & Team News

Vincenzo Italiano's side has been hindered by dismal home form, a factor that has played a significant role in their decline. With 60% of their players in form, they will look to capitalize on this advantage against a Cagliari team that, despite having 70% of their players in form, have struggled on the road, losing their last three away games.

Key Numbers
1.6
Bologna xG
vs
Expected Goals
0.9
Cagliari xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The recent history between the two teams suggests that Bologna should have the edge. Their last encounter saw Bologna enjoy a 2-0 away victory at Unipol Domus, and they have won three straight games against Cagliari, outscoring them 6-1 in their last three meetings.

Our Prediction

Bologna's need to restore pride at home, combined with Cagliari's struggles on the road, points towards a home win. The visitors' fight for survival will make them a formidable opponent, but Bologna's desire to end their losing streak and capitalize on their historical advantage over Cagliari should drive them to victory.

AI Prediction
Home Win
Most likely: 1-1
45%
confidence

Key Stats

  • Bologna are unbeaten in their last dozen home games against Cagliari.
  • Cagliari have lost their last three away games.
  • Bologna have a 60% player form rate.
  • Cagliari have scored five and conceded eight in their last five games.
  • The head-to-head record favors Bologna, with seven wins in the last ten meetings.
  • Bologna's Elo rating of 1451 surpasses Cagliari's 1422.
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