PREMIER LEAGUE 2025/26
AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth

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VS
Tue 19 May
18:30 GMT
Manchester City

Manchester City

Away
9% Home80% Draw12% Away
Full Time
1 - 1
WON
Double ChanceX2
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CalibrSports Research
Updated 19 May 2026 · 8 min read

AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Premier League 19 May 2026

Manchester City's quest for the Premier League title continues as they face AFC Bournemouth at Vitality Stadium

9%
80%
12%
AFC Bournemouth
Draw 80%
Manchester City

What's at Stake

The outcome of this match will have significant implications for both teams. A win for Manchester City would not only bring them closer to the title but also boost their confidence ahead of their remaining fixtures. For AFC Bournemouth, a positive result would be a major upset and a significant statement of their intentions to finish the season strongly.

Form & Team News

Both teams have players in form, with 70% of their squads performing well. However, the shot efficiency of Manchester City, with 8.7 shots per goal, is a concern for AFC Bournemouth. The Cherries have managed 6.3 shots per goal, which may not be enough to breach City's defense.

Key Numbers
1.1
AFC Bournemouth xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.7
Manchester City xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

AFC Bournemouth have struggled to contain Manchester City's attacking prowess, with an average of 1.0 goal per game against the Citizens. This lack of goal-scoring threat may prove to be a significant challenge for the Cherries as they look to take down the title contenders.

Our Prediction

AFC Bournemouth will need to be at their best to take down Manchester City, but the odds are stacked against them. The Citizens have the momentum and the quality to secure a win, and it's likely that they will do so. The Cherries may try to park the bus and catch City on the counter, but the Citizens' attacking prowess will likely prove too much for them.

AI Prediction
Away Win
Most likely: 1-1
12%
confidence

Key Stats

  • AFC Bournemouth have scored 10 goals in their last 5 games
  • Manchester City have conceded just 4 goals in their last 5 games
  • The head-to-head record is heavily skewed in favor of Manchester City, with 3 consecutive wins
  • AFC Bournemouth have a shot efficiency of 6.3 shots per goal
  • Manchester City have an Elo rating of 1637, 82 points higher than AFC Bournemouth
  • The expected goals (xG) is 1.12 for AFC Bournemouth and 1.68 for Manchester City
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