PREMIER LEAGUE 2025/26
Chelsea

Chelsea

Home
VS
Mon 04 May
14:00 GMT
Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest

Away
41% Home40% Draw19% Away
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 04 May 2026 · 8 min read

Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Premier League 04 May 2026

Chelsea host Nottingham Forest with a chance to climb the Premier League table, but injuries may hinder their progress

41%
40%
19%
Chelsea
Draw 40%
Nottingham Forest

What's at Stake

Nottingham Forest have been performing well recently, with a remarkable 13 goals scored in their last 5 matches. However, their defense has been solid, conceding just 2 goals in that period. Chelsea must be wary of Forest's attacking prowess and look to exploit any defensive weaknesses.

The visitors will be seeking to cause an upset and dent Chelsea's European aspirations.

Form & Team News

The injury to Estevao Willian is a concern for Chelsea, as he has been a key player in their attacking lineup. Alejandro Garnacho may be called upon to fill the void, but it remains to be seen whether he can replicate Estevao's impact. Chelsea's attacking options are limited, and they must find a way to adapt to Estevao's absence.

Key Numbers
1.7
Chelsea xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.0
Nottingham Forest xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

Nottingham Forest will be looking to buck the trend and cause an upset at Stamford Bridge. They've shown their capabilities in the Europa League, defeating Porto in the quarter-final. However, Chelsea's home record is strong, and they'll be confident of securing a win.

Our Prediction

In the end, Chelsea's home record and attacking prowess should give them the edge they need to secure a win. Nottingham Forest will push them hard, but the Blues should emerge victorious. The key to the match will be Chelsea's ability to adapt to Estevao Willian's absence and find alternative attacking options.

AI Prediction
Home Win
Most likely: 1-1
41%
confidence

Key Stats

  • Chelsea have a 41.4% win probability, while Forest have just 18.6%
  • The expected goals (xG) favor Chelsea, with 1.68 compared to Forest's 0.96
  • Nottingham Forest have scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches, while Chelsea have scored 8
  • The Blues have conceded 7 goals in their last 5 matches, while Forest have conceded just 2
  • Chelsea's Elo rating of 1517 gives them a significant advantage over Forest's 1461
  • The H2H record favors Chelsea, with an average of 2.0 goals scored per match
PRO

Proven Models. Real Profits.

Our ML ensemble has delivered consistent profitable returns across Europe's biggest leagues — backed by 10 years of historical performance data.

+486%
30-Day ROI
12+
Markets
500+
Data Points / Game
1X2, O/U, BTTS, AH, DNB
Correct Score predictions
Value edge detection
Kelly-optimal stake sizing
Live in-game updates
Instant Telegram alerts

10 years of consistent performance · 10 leagues & growing · Updated daily

LAUNCH OFFER — 15 Days Free

Start 15-Day Free Trial

Then $25/mo · Cancel anytime