Colombia vs Congo DR Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — FIFA World Cup 2026 24 Jun 2026

Colombia welcome Congo DR in this FIFA World Cup 2026 fixture with both sides looking to pick up vital points. With the season well underway, every result carries increased significance.

Don’t expect a goal-fest here. With a combined projected xG of 2.2, this has the makings of a cagey, tactical affair where defensive discipline could prove the difference.

Colombia’s form coming into this match has been blistering, averaging 2.4 points per game from their last five fixtures. The goals have been flowing — 12 in their last five matches — though 6 conceded does suggest some vulnerabilities at the back.

Congo DR arrive in fine fettle, averaging 2.1 points per game from their last five. They’ve scored 4 and conceded 1 in their last five outings.

The historical record between Colombia and Congo DR will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

This is about as tight as it gets in our predictions. Colombia are given a 46% chance, Congo DR 26%, and the draw 27%. When the probabilities are this close, it’s a game that could go any way, and picking a winner with confidence is virtually impossible.

The expected goals model projects Colombia at 1.2 xG and Congo DR at 1.0 xG. The most likely scoreline according to our Poisson model is 1-1 (13% probability), followed by 1-0 (12%).