SERIE A 2025/26
Como

Como

Home
VS
Sat 28 Feb
14:00 GMT
Lecce

Lecce

Away
64% Home24% Draw12% Away
Full Time
3 - 1
Como win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 28 Feb 2026 · 8 min read

Como vs Lecce Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Serie A 28 Feb 2026

Our AI model gives Como a 64% chance in this Serie A fixture. Here’s the full breakdown.

64%
24%
12%
Como
Draw 24%
Lecce

What's at Stake

The stakes couldn’t be higher for Lecce, who sit 18th and in the relegation battle. Every point is precious at this stage of the season, and a defeat here could leave them staring at the very real prospect of the drop. Como arrive knowing they can pile on the misery or hand a lifeline to their opponents.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 2.2 expected goals for Como and 0.8 for Lecce, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Form & Team News

Como’s form coming into this match has been solid, averaging 1.6 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve been particularly impressive at both ends, scoring 10 goals and conceding just 3 in their last five.

Lecce arrive averaging 1.5 points per game from their last five. They’ve scored 4 and conceded 4 in their last five outings.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. Como’s Elo rating (1565) is 167 points higher than Lecce’s (1398), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

Key Numbers
2.2
Como xG
vs
Expected Goals
0.8
Lecce xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between Como and Lecce will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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