Côte d'Ivoire vs Norway Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — FIFA World Cup 2026 30 Jun 2026

Côte d'Ivoire welcome Norway in this FIFA World Cup 2026 fixture with both sides looking to pick up vital points. With the season well underway, every result carries increased significance.

Don’t expect a goal-fest here. With a combined projected xG of 2.2, this has the makings of a cagey, tactical affair where defensive discipline could prove the difference.

Côte d'Ivoire’s form coming into this match has been excellent, averaging 2.2 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve been particularly impressive at both ends, scoring 14 goals and conceding just 2 in their last five.

Norway arrive in fine fettle, averaging 2.0 points per game from their last five. However, their defensive record is a concern — 9 conceded in five games, a vulnerability Côte d'Ivoire will look to exploit.

The historical record between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

This is about as tight as it gets in our predictions. Côte d'Ivoire are given a 34% chance, Norway 38%, and the draw 27%. When the probabilities are this close, it’s a game that could go any way, and picking a winner with confidence is virtually impossible.

The expected goals model projects Côte d'Ivoire at 1.4 xG and Norway at 0.8 xG. The most likely scoreline according to our Poisson model is 1-0 (15% probability), followed by 1-1 (12%).