CHAMPIONSHIP 2025/26
Derby County

Derby County

Home
VS
Mon 06 Apr
14:00 GMT
Stoke City

Stoke City

Away
32% Home37% Draw31% Away
Full Time
2 - 0
Derby County win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 06 Apr 2026 · 8 min read

Derby County vs Stoke City Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Championship 06 Apr 2026

Our AI model gives Derby County a 31% chance in this Championship fixture. Here’s the full breakdown.

32%
37%
31%
Derby County
Draw 37%
Stoke City

What's at Stake

Derby County (8th) welcome Stoke City (12th) in a Championship fixture where both sides will be eager to climb the table. The hosts have 60 points on the board, while Stoke City sit on 54 — neither can afford to let standards slip with the business end of the season approaching.

Don’t expect a goal-fest here. With a combined projected xG of 2.7, this has the makings of a cagey, tactical affair where defensive discipline could prove the difference.

Form & Team News

Derby County’s form coming into this match has been solid, averaging 1.7 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 6 and conceded 5 in their last five outings.

Stoke City arrive averaging 1.6 points per game from their last five. However, their defensive record is a concern — 9 conceded in five games, a vulnerability Derby County will look to exploit.

Key Numbers
1.5
Derby County xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.2
Stoke City xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between Derby County and Stoke City will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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