Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern München Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Bundesliga 28 Feb 2026

The Bundesliga title race takes centre stage as 2nd-placed Borussia Dortmund welcome FC Bayern München who sit 1st. FC Bayern München hold the upper hand with a 8-point cushion, but Borussia Dortmund know that a victory here would blow the race wide open.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 1.4 expected goals for Borussia Dortmund and 1.6 for FC Bayern München, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Borussia Dortmund’s form coming into this match has been blistering, averaging 2.4 points per game from their last five fixtures. The goals have been flowing — 14 in their last five matches — though 5 conceded does suggest some vulnerabilities at the back.

FC Bayern München arrive in fine fettle, averaging 2.4 points per game from their last five. They’ve scored 14 and conceded 7 in their last five outings.

The historical record between Borussia Dortmund and FC Bayern München will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.