FIFA WORLD CUP 2026
Ecuador

Ecuador

Home
VS
Sun 21 Jun
00:00 GMT
Curacao

Curacao

Away
22% Home66% Draw11% Away
Full Time
0 - 0
Draw
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 21 Jun 2026 · 8 min read

Ecuador vs Curacao Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — FIFA World Cup 2026 21 Jun 2026

Ecuador faces Curacao in a crucial Group E match, with both teams seeking their first win in the 2026 World Cup

22%
66%
11%
Ecuador
Draw 66%
Curacao

What's at Stake

With four points likely to guarantee progression, and possibly even three points, the margin for error is less than in previous World Cups. This match presents the best chance for either team to secure a win and stay in the running.

Form & Team News

Ecuador's recent form has been decent, with a 2.0 weighted points per game average in their last 5 matches. Curacao has a slightly better average, with 2.2 weighted points per game. However, Ecuador's Elo rating of 1617 is higher than Curacao's 1578, indicating a slight advantage.

Key Numbers
1.1
Ecuador xG
vs
Expected Goals
0.7
Curacao xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

Curacao's debut in the World Cup was marked by a heavy defeat to Germany, but they can still learn from the experience. They will need to improve their defensive performance to have any chance of getting a result against Ecuador.

Key Stats

  • Ecuador has a 56.1% chance of winning the match
  • Curacao has a 22.9% chance of winning
  • Ecuador's Elo rating is 1617, compared to Curacao's 1578
  • Ecuador has scored only 1 goal in their last 5 matches
  • Curacao has scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches
  • Ecuador's shot efficiency is 41.0, compared to Curacao's 6.2
  • Ecuador's xG average is 1.48, compared to Curacao's 1.11
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