PREMIER LEAGUE 2025/26
Everton

Everton

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VS
Tue 03 Mar
19:30 GMT
Burnley

Burnley

Away
77% Home19% Draw4% Away
Full Time
2 - 0
Everton win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 03 Mar 2026 · 8 min read

Everton vs Burnley Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Premier League 03 Mar 2026

Everton seek to build on recent momentum against struggling Burnley side

77%
19%
Everton
Draw 19%
Burnley

What's at Stake

The Premier League table is tightly packed, but Burnley's position is precarious - 11 points adrift of safety. A win for Everton would solidify their mid-table spot, while Burnley desperately need points to stay alive in the relegation battle. Everton are 8th, with 36 points from 26 games, and a win would move them closer to the European spots.

Burnley, on the other hand, are 19th, with a dismal 19 points from 28 games.

The gap between Everton and the top six is significant, but a win would keep their faint hopes alive. For Burnley, the next few games are crucial - they need to start picking up points to have any chance of survival.

The relegation battle is intense, with several teams still in danger of going down. Burnley's survival hopes are slim, but they can still mathematically stay up with a strong run of results.

Form & Team News

Everton's recent form has been inconsistent, but they have shown flashes of brilliance, like their 3-2 win at Newcastle. The Toffees have struggled at home, with no wins in their last seven matches at Hill Dickinson Stadium. In contrast, Burnley have been poor on the road, with no clean sheets all season.

David Moyes' side has been hindered by the lack of goals from strikers Beto and Thierno Barry, who have just three goals each this season. Everton's shot efficiency has been decent, with 8.6 shots per goal in their last five games.

Burnley's injury crisis has not helped their cause, with Josh Cullen and Zeki Amdouni ruled out with serious knee injuries. Lesley Ugochukwu and Florentino Luís are expected to anchor the midfield, while Jaidon Anthony will provide the creative spark.

Key Numbers
1.8
Everton xG
vs
Expected Goals
0.8
Burnley xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The reverse fixture ended goalless, with Burnley holding Everton to a 0-0 draw at Turf Moor. Historically, Burnley have struggled against Everton, but they have scored in their last few meetings. The December encounter was a tight affair, with both teams creating few chances.

Everton will look to capitalize on Burnley's defensive struggles, particularly in the opening 10 minutes, where they have conceded a league-high six goals.

The head-to-head record between the two teams is relatively even, but Everton's recent form suggests they have the upper hand.

Key Stats

  • Everton have a 49.8% chance of winning, according to our analysis.
  • Burnley have conceded a league-high six goals in the opening 10 minutes this season.
  • Everton have scored seven goals in their last five games, while Burnley have scored seven but conceded 12.
  • The Toffees have a slight edge in shot efficiency, with 8.6 shots per goal compared to Burnley's 7.9.
  • Burnley have not kept a single clean sheet away from home this season.
  • Everton have collected 14 points from their last 18 available away from home, but struggle at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
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