Everton vs Liverpool Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Premier League 19 Apr 2026

Everton (8th) welcome Liverpool (5th) in a Premier League fixture where both sides will be eager to climb the table. The hosts have 47 points on the board, while Liverpool sit on 52 — neither can afford to let standards slip with the business end of the season approaching.

Don’t expect a goal-fest here. With a combined projected xG of 2.7, this has the makings of a cagey, tactical affair where defensive discipline could prove the difference.

Everton’s form coming into this match has been solid, averaging 1.8 points per game from their last five fixtures. The goals have been flowing — 10 in their last five matches — though 6 conceded does suggest some vulnerabilities at the back.

Liverpool arrive averaging 1.4 points per game from their last five. They’ve scored 10 and conceded 7 in their last five outings.

The historical record between Everton and Liverpool will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

This is about as tight as it gets in our predictions. Everton are given a 28% chance, Liverpool 35%, and the draw 35%. When the probabilities are this close, it’s a game that could go any way, and picking a winner with confidence is virtually impossible.

The expected goals model projects Everton at 1.4 xG and Liverpool at 1.3 xG. The most likely scoreline according to our Poisson model is 1-1 (12% probability), followed by 1-0 (8%).