Fatih Karagümrük vs Eyüpspor Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Super Lig 18 Apr 2026

The stakes couldn’t be higher for Fatih Karagümrük, who sit 18th and in the relegation battle. Every point is precious at this stage of the season, and a defeat here could leave them staring at the very real prospect of the drop. Eyüpspor arrive knowing they can pile on the misery or hand a lifeline to their opponents.

Don’t expect a goal-fest here. With a combined projected xG of 2.4, this has the makings of a cagey, tactical affair where defensive discipline could prove the difference.

Fatih Karagümrük’s form coming into this match has been inconsistent, averaging 1.3 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 5 and conceded 6 in their last five outings.

Eyüpspor arrive hoping to rediscover their best form, averaging 0.0 points per game from their last five. However, their defensive record is a concern — 8 conceded in five games, a vulnerability Fatih Karagümrük will look to exploit.

The historical record between Fatih Karagümrük and Eyüpspor will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

This is about as tight as it gets in our predictions. Fatih Karagümrük are given a 39% chance, Eyüpspor 25%, and the draw 35%. When the probabilities are this close, it’s a game that could go any way, and picking a winner with confidence is virtually impossible.

The expected goals model projects Fatih Karagümrük at 1.5 xG and Eyüpspor at 1.0 xG. The most likely scoreline according to our Poisson model is 1-1 (12% probability), followed by 1-0 (12%).