BUNDESLIGA 2025/26
FC Köln

FC Köln

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Sat 25 Apr
13:30 GMT
Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Away
2% Home6% Draw93% Away
Full Time
1 - 2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 25 Apr 2026 · 8 min read

FC Köln vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Bundesliga 25 Apr 2026

Goals expected in this Bundesliga clash — our model projects 1.4 vs 1.8 xG with Bayer 04 Leverkusen given a 50% chance.

2%
93%
FC Köln
Draw 6%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen

What's at Stake

FC Köln (12th) welcome Bayer 04 Leverkusen (6th) in a Bundesliga fixture where both sides will be eager to climb the table. The hosts have 31 points on the board, while Bayer 04 Leverkusen sit on 52 — neither can afford to let standards slip with the business end of the season approaching.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 1.4 expected goals for FC Köln and 1.8 for Bayer 04 Leverkusen, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Form & Team News

FC Köln’s form coming into this match has been inconsistent, averaging 1.5 points per game from their last five fixtures. The goals have been flowing — 10 in their last five matches — though 8 conceded does suggest some vulnerabilities at the back.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen arrive averaging 1.6 points per game from their last five. However, their defensive record is a concern — 9 conceded in five games, a vulnerability FC Köln will look to exploit.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. Bayer 04 Leverkusen’s Elo rating (1528) is 111 points higher than FC Köln’s (1417), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

Key Numbers
1.4
FC Köln xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.8
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between FC Köln and Bayer 04 Leverkusen will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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