BUNDESLIGA 2025/26
FC Union Berlin

FC Union Berlin

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Sat 21 Feb
14:30 GMT
Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Away
24% Home32% Draw44% Away
Full Time
1 - 0
FC Union Berlin win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 21 Feb 2026 · 8 min read

FC Union Berlin vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Bundesliga 21 Feb 2026

Our AI model gives Bayer 04 Leverkusen a 43% chance in this Bundesliga fixture. Here’s the full breakdown.

24%
32%
44%
FC Union Berlin
Draw 32%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen

What's at Stake

Bayer 04 Leverkusen sit 3rd, inside the Champions League places, and will view this as an opportunity to consolidate their position. For FC Union Berlin in 8th, this is a chance to make a statement against one of the league’s top sides — the kind of result that can shift momentum for the rest of the campaign.

Don’t expect a goal-fest here. With a combined projected xG of 2.8, this has the makings of a cagey, tactical affair where defensive discipline could prove the difference.

Form & Team News

FC Union Berlin’s form coming into this match has been solid, averaging 1.9 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 7 and conceded 6 in their last five outings.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen arrive in fine fettle, averaging 1.9 points per game from their last five. They’ve scored 9 and conceded 6 in their last five outings.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. Bayer 04 Leverkusen’s Elo rating (1577) is 99 points higher than FC Union Berlin’s (1477), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

Key Numbers
1.3
FC Union Berlin xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.4
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between FC Union Berlin and Bayer 04 Leverkusen will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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