Fenerbahçe vs Rizespor Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Super Lig 17 Apr 2026

Fenerbahçe sit 2nd, inside the Champions League places, and will view this as an opportunity to consolidate their position. For Rizespor in 8th, this is a chance to make a statement against one of the league’s top sides — the kind of result that can shift momentum for the rest of the campaign.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 2.4 expected goals for Fenerbahçe and 0.9 for Rizespor, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Fenerbahçe’s form coming into this match has been blistering, averaging 2.5 points per game from their last five fixtures. The goals have been flowing — 12 in their last five matches — though 5 conceded does suggest some vulnerabilities at the back.

Rizespor arrive in fine fettle, averaging 1.9 points per game from their last five. They’ve scored 8 and conceded 5 in their last five outings.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. Fenerbahçe’s Elo rating (1647) is 163 points higher than Rizespor’s (1483), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

The historical record between Fenerbahçe and Rizespor will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

Our AI model makes Fenerbahçe clear favourites here, giving them a 67% chance of winning. That leaves Rizespor with just a 11% probability of pulling off a result, while the draw sits at 20%. This is one of the more lopsided predictions of the matchday — the data sees a clear gap between these two sides.

The expected goals model projects Fenerbahçe at 2.4 xG and Rizespor at 0.9 xG. The most likely scoreline according to our Poisson model is 2-0 (10% probability), followed by 2-1 (9%).