EREDIVISIE 2025/26
Feyenoord

Feyenoord

Home
VS
Sat 25 Apr
14:30 GMT
FC Groningen

FC Groningen

Away
39% Home40% Draw21% Away
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 25 Apr 2026 · 8 min read

Feyenoord vs FC Groningen Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Eredivisie 25 Apr 2026

Our AI model gives Feyenoord a 38% chance in this Eredivisie fixture. Here’s the full breakdown.

39%
40%
21%
Feyenoord
Draw 40%
FC Groningen

What's at Stake

Feyenoord sit 2nd, inside the Champions League places, and will view this as an opportunity to consolidate their position. For FC Groningen in 9th, this is a chance to make a statement against one of the league’s top sides — the kind of result that can shift momentum for the rest of the campaign.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 1.7 expected goals for Feyenoord and 1.1 for FC Groningen, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Form & Team News

Feyenoord’s form coming into this match has been inconsistent, averaging 1.3 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 7 and conceded 6 in their last five outings.

FC Groningen arrive in fine fettle, averaging 2.1 points per game from their last five. On the road they’ve been productive, scoring 9 in their last five while keeping things tight with just 2 conceded.

Key Numbers
1.7
Feyenoord xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.1
FC Groningen xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between Feyenoord and FC Groningen will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

Our Prediction

This is about as tight as it gets in our predictions. Feyenoord are given a 38% chance, FC Groningen 20%, and the draw 40%. When the probabilities are this close, it’s a game that could go any way, and picking a winner with confidence is virtually impossible.

The expected goals model projects Feyenoord at 1.7 xG and FC Groningen at 1.1 xG. The most likely scoreline according to our Poisson model is 1-1 (11% probability), followed by 1-0 (9%).

AI Prediction
Draw
Most likely: 1-1
40%
confidence
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