SERIE A 2025/26
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

Home
VS
Mon 23 Feb
17:30 GMT
Pisa

Pisa

Away
40% Home33% Draw27% Away
Full Time
1 - 0
Fiorentina win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 23 Feb 2026 · 8 min read

Fiorentina vs Pisa Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Serie A 23 Feb 2026

Our AI model gives Fiorentina a 39% chance in this Serie A fixture. Here’s the full breakdown.

40%
33%
27%
Fiorentina
Draw 33%
Pisa

What's at Stake

The stakes couldn’t be higher for Fiorentina, who sit 20th and in the relegation battle. Every point is precious at this stage of the season, and a defeat here could leave them staring at the very real prospect of the drop. Pisa arrive knowing they can pile on the misery or hand a lifeline to their opponents.

Don’t expect a goal-fest here. With a combined projected xG of 2.6, this has the makings of a cagey, tactical affair where defensive discipline could prove the difference.

Form & Team News

Fiorentina’s form coming into this match has been excellent, averaging 0.8 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 7 and conceded 9 in their last five outings.

Pisa arrive hoping to rediscover their best form, averaging 0.2 points per game from their last five. However, their defensive record is a concern — 8 conceded in five games, a vulnerability Fiorentina will look to exploit.

Key Numbers
1.6
Fiorentina xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.0
Pisa xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between Fiorentina and Pisa will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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