SERIE A 2025/26
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

Home
VS
Sun 26 Apr
10:30 GMT
Sassuolo

Sassuolo

Away
35% Home35% Draw30% Away
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 26 Apr 2026 · 8 min read

Fiorentina vs Sassuolo Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Serie A 26 Apr 2026

Can Fiorentina end their miserable Serie A start against mid-table Sassuolo?

35%
35%
30%
Fiorentina
Draw 35%
Sassuolo

What's at Stake

With 17 points from 13 games, Sassuolo are well-placed to achieve their goals, but they must improve their home form to have any real chance of success. Fiorentina, with just 2.1 weighted points per game in their last 5, need to find a way to turn their form around quickly.

Form & Team News

Both teams have players in form, with 70% of Fiorentina's and Sassuolo's players performing well. However, Fiorentina's recent form has been more consistent, with 2.1 weighted points per game in their last 5, compared to Sassuolo's 1.6.

Key Numbers
1.4
Fiorentina xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.1
Sassuolo xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The last 5 meetings between these two teams have seen Sassuolo dominate, but Fiorentina will be hoping to change their fortunes and come away with a much-needed win.

Our Prediction

The predicted outcome is a home win for Fiorentina, but it will be a closely contested match. Sassuolo have the talent to cause an upset, but Fiorentina's recent form and desperation for a win make them the more likely victors.

AI Prediction
Home Win
Most likely: 1-1
35%
confidence

Key Stats

  • Fiorentina have scored 8 goals in their last 5 games, conceding just 3
  • Sassuolo have scored 6 goals in their last 5 games, conceding 6
  • The head-to-head record is heavily skewed in favor of Sassuolo, who have averaged 3.0 goals per game against Fiorentina
  • Fiorentina have a shot efficiency of 5.9 shots per goal, compared to Sassuolo's 8.5
  • The expected goals (xG) for this match is 1.35 for Fiorentina and 1.08 for Sassuolo
  • Fiorentina have a weighted points per game average of 2.1 in their last 5 games, compared to Sassuolo's 1.6
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