BUNDESLIGA 2025/26
FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05

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VS
Sat 25 Apr
13:30 GMT
FC Bayern München

FC Bayern München

Away
1% Home8% Draw90% Away
Full Time
3 - 4
FC Bayern München win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 25 Apr 2026 · 8 min read

FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Bundesliga 25 Apr 2026

Our AI model gives FC Bayern München a 63% chance in this Bundesliga fixture. Here’s the full breakdown.

1%
90%
FSV Mainz 05
Draw 8%
FC Bayern München

What's at Stake

FC Bayern München sit 1st, top of the table, and will view this as an opportunity to consolidate their position. For FSV Mainz 05 in 10th, this is a chance to make a statement against one of the league’s top sides — the kind of result that can shift momentum for the rest of the campaign.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 0.9 expected goals for FSV Mainz 05 and 2.0 for FC Bayern München, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Form & Team News

FSV Mainz 05’s form coming into this match has been solid, averaging 1.7 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 7 and conceded 4 in their last five outings.

FC Bayern München arrive in fine fettle, averaging 2.8 points per game from their last five. They’ve scored 17 and conceded 5 in their last five outings.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. FC Bayern München’s Elo rating (1704) is 221 points higher than FSV Mainz 05’s (1482), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

Key Numbers
0.9
FSV Mainz 05 xG
vs
Expected Goals
2.0
FC Bayern München xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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