BUNDESLIGA 2025/26
FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05

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Sat 07 Mar
14:30 GMT
VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

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2 - 2
Draw
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CalibrSports Research
Updated 07 Mar 2026 · 8 min read

FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Bundesliga 07 Mar 2026

Our AI model gives VfB Stuttgart a 53% chance in this Bundesliga fixture. Here’s the full breakdown.

0%
100%
FSV Mainz 05
Draw 100%
VfB Stuttgart

What's at Stake

VfB Stuttgart sit 4th, inside the Champions League places, and will view this as an opportunity to consolidate their position. For FSV Mainz 05 in 14th, this is a chance to make a statement against one of the league’s top sides — the kind of result that can shift momentum for the rest of the campaign.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 1.1 expected goals for FSV Mainz 05 and 1.8 for VfB Stuttgart, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Form & Team News

FSV Mainz 05’s form coming into this match has been inconsistent, averaging 1.3 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 6 and conceded 7 in their last five outings.

VfB Stuttgart arrive in fine fettle, averaging 2.0 points per game from their last five. They’ve scored 12 and conceded 6 in their last five outings.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. VfB Stuttgart’s Elo rating (1557) is 117 points higher than FSV Mainz 05’s (1439), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

Key Numbers
1.1
FSV Mainz 05 xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.8
VfB Stuttgart xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between FSV Mainz 05 and VfB Stuttgart will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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