SUPER LIG 2025/26
Galatasaray

Galatasaray

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VS
Sat 14 Mar
17:00 GMT
İstanbul Başakşehir

İstanbul Başakşehir

Away
54% Home29% Draw17% Away
Full Time
3 - 0
Galatasaray win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 14 Mar 2026 · 8 min read

Galatasaray vs İstanbul Başakşehir Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Super Lig 14 Mar 2026

Goals expected in this Super Lig clash — our model projects 2.1 vs 1.1 xG with Galatasaray given a 54% chance.

54%
29%
17%
Galatasaray
Draw 29%
İstanbul Başakşehir

What's at Stake

Galatasaray sit 1st, top of the table, and will view this as an opportunity to consolidate their position. For İstanbul Başakşehir in 5th, this is a chance to make a statement against one of the league’s top sides — the kind of result that can shift momentum for the rest of the campaign.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 2.1 expected goals for Galatasaray and 1.1 for İstanbul Başakşehir, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Form & Team News

Galatasaray’s form coming into this match has been excellent, averaging 2.4 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve been particularly impressive at both ends, scoring 12 goals and conceding just 4 in their last five.

İstanbul Başakşehir arrive in fine fettle, averaging 2.5 points per game from their last five. They’ve scored 10 and conceded 6 in their last five outings.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. Galatasaray’s Elo rating (1676) is 114 points higher than İstanbul Başakşehir’s (1562), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

Key Numbers
2.1
Galatasaray xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.1
İstanbul Başakşehir xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between Galatasaray and İstanbul Başakşehir will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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