SERIE A 2025/26
Genoa

Genoa

Home
VS
Sun 17 May
10:00 GMT
AC Milan

AC Milan

Away
2% Home6% Draw92% Away
Full Time
1 - 2
AC Milan win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 17 May 2026 · 8 min read

Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Serie A 17 May 2026

Rossoneri seek to bounce back from consecutive defeats as they visit Genoa

In this article
What's at StakeForm & Team NewsHead-to-HeadOur PredictionKey StatsBest Odds
2%
92%
Genoa
Draw 6%
AC Milan

What's at Stake

The match has significant implications for the Serie A table, with several teams still in contention for European spots. A win for Milan would put pressure on Roma and other teams chasing Champions League qualification, while a Genoa victory would give them a morale boost and potentially drag Milan into a relegation scrap.

Form & Team News

Genoa will be looking to capitalize on Milan's recent struggles, particularly their defensive fragility. The Rossoneri have conceded eight goals in their last five matches, and Genoa will be seeking to exploit this weakness and catch Milan on the counter.

Key Numbers
1.2
Genoa xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.3
AC Milan xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between the two teams indicates that Milan have a significant advantage. However, Genoa have been known to cause upsets, and they will be looking to do so again on Sunday.

Key Stats

  • ●Genoa have scored an average of 1.1 goals per match in their last five games
  • ●AC Milan have conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match in their last five games
  • ●The Rossoneri have a 50% players in form rating, compared to Genoa's 50%
  • ●Christian Pulisic is set to return from injury and make his first start in several weeks
  • ●AC Milan have not lost to Genoa in their last ten matches, with six wins and four draws
  • ●The expected goals (xG) data suggests a Milan win, with the Rossoneri having an xG of 1.31 compared to Genoa's 1.19
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