SERIE A 2025/26
Genoa

Genoa

Home
VS
Sun 26 Apr
13:00 GMT
Como

Como

Away
21% Home28% Draw50% Away
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 26 Apr 2026 · 8 min read

Genoa vs Como Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Serie A 26 Apr 2026

Como's superior form and Elo rating make them favorites in this Serie A clash

21%
28%
50%
Genoa
Draw 28%
Como

What's at Stake

Genoa are practically guaranteed to stay in Serie A, but a win against Como would be a significant boost to their morale. Como, on the other hand, are fighting for a top-five spot and need all the points they can get. With 29 points separating them from the top, every match is crucial for their European ambitions.

Form & Team News

Genoa have been inconsistent, with a form rating of 1.9 points per game in their last five matches. They have scored six goals and conceded six, with players like Jeff Ekhator and Lorenzo Colombo making a difference. However, they will be without Ruslan Malinovskyi, Morten Frendrup, and Mikael Ellertsson due to bans, and Maxwel Cornet, Brooke Norton-Cuffy, and Benjamin Siegrist are injured.

Key Numbers
1.2
Genoa xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.8
Como xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The head-to-head record between Genoa and Como is evenly matched, with both teams averaging one goal per game. However, Como's recent form has been patchy, with a form rating of 0.5 points per game in their last five matches. They have scored 11 goals and conceded nine, but their shot efficiency is better than Genoa's, with 7.1 shots per goal compared to Genoa's 11.3.

Our Prediction

Based on the current form and team dynamics, it's likely that Como will come out on top. Genoa's injury and suspension woes will make it difficult for them to contain Como's attack. Como's superior Elo rating and better shot efficiency also give them an edge in this match.

AI Prediction
Away Win
Most likely: 1-1
50%
confidence

Key Stats

  • Genoa have a 21.3% chance of winning
  • Como have a 50.4% chance of winning
  • The expected goals tally is 1.16 for Genoa and 1.79 for Como
  • Genoa have scored six goals and conceded six in their last five matches
  • Como have scored 11 goals and conceded nine in their last five matches
  • The head-to-head record is evenly matched, with both teams averaging one goal per game
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