FIFA WORLD CUP 2026
Germany

Germany

Home
VS
Mon 29 Jun
20:30 GMT
Paraguay

Paraguay

Away
26% Home69% Draw5% Away
Full Time
1 - 1
Draw
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 29 Jun 2026 · 8 min read

Germany vs Paraguay Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — FIFA World Cup 2026 29 Jun 2026

Germany's potent attack faces Paraguay's stout defense in the World Cup knockout stage

26%
69%
Germany
Draw 69%
Paraguay

What's at Stake

The knockout stage of the World Cup is here, and Germany is looking to prove themselves after a tumultuous group stage. With a win, they'll advance to the next round, while Paraguay is seeking to pull off a major upset. The pressure is on, and every mistake will be magnified.

Germany is currently 9 points ahead of Paraguay in the overall standings, with a significant gap in Elo ratings.

Form & Team News

Germany's attack has been one of the most dangerous in the tournament, with Florian Wirtz, Jamal Musiala, and Kai Havertz creating chances at will. However, their defense has been suspect, and the loss of centre-back Nico Schlotterbeck to injury has not helped. Paraguay, on the other hand, has quietly become one of the tournament's surprise knockout qualifiers, with a hard-fought win over Turkey and a draw against Australia.

Key Numbers
2.3
Germany xG
vs
Expected Goals
0.6
Paraguay xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

This is the first meeting between Germany and Paraguay in the World Cup knockout stage. Germany's experience and firepower give them an edge, but Paraguay's stout defense could make this a tight match. The teams have not met in recent years, so there's no historical precedent to draw upon.

Key Stats

  • Germany has scored 18 goals in their last 5 matches
  • Paraguay has scored just 3 goals in their last 5 matches
  • Germany's Elo rating is 196 points higher than Paraguay's
  • Germany's xG is 1.75 higher than Paraguay's
  • Germany has a 65% average possession rate, while Paraguay has just 37%
  • Germany's shot efficiency is 4.9 shots per goal, compared to Paraguay's 12.3
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