EREDIVISIE 2025/26
Heracles Almelo

Heracles Almelo

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VS
Sat 11 Apr
19:00 GMT
Ajax

Ajax

Away
1% Home2% Draw97% Away
Full Time
0 - 3
Ajax win
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CalibrSports Research
Updated 11 Apr 2026 · 8 min read

Heracles Almelo vs Ajax Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Eredivisie 11 Apr 2026

Eredivisie strugglers Heracles Almelo face a daunting task against fifth-placed Ajax, who are chasing a better position in the league

1%
97%
Heracles Almelo
Draw 2%
Ajax

What's at Stake

Heracles Almelo are on the brink of relegation, sitting eight points adrift of safety with just five games remaining. A win for Ajax would boost their chances of finishing in the top four. The contrast in league position and form couldn't be starker, with Heracles desperate for points and Ajax looking to capitalize on their opponents' struggles.

Form & Team News

Heracles Almelo's recent form has been dismal, with just 0.4 points per game in their last five matches. They've scored a mere three goals in that period, conceding 12. In contrast, Ajax have picked up 1.0 point per game, scoring seven and conceding six.

The shot efficiency also favors Ajax, with 8.0 shots per goal compared to Heracles' 17.0.

Key Numbers
1.0
Heracles Almelo xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.9
Ajax xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The head-to-head record between these two teams doesn't bode well for Heracles Almelo. Ajax have consistently been the stronger side, and their current form suggests they'll dominate this fixture. Heracles will need to dig deep to find a way to counter Ajax's attacking prowess.

Key Stats

  • Heracles Almelo have scored just 3 goals in their last 5 matches
  • Ajax have a 61.9% win probability
  • The expected goals (xG) are 1.02 for Heracles Almelo and 1.90 for Ajax
  • Heracles have conceded 12 goals in their last 5 matches
  • Ajax have a shot efficiency of 8.0 shots per goal
  • Heracles Almelo are 8 points adrift of safety with 5 games remaining
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