EREDIVISIE 2025/26
Heracles Almelo

Heracles Almelo

Home
VS
Sun 17 May
12:30 GMT
FC Groningen

FC Groningen

Away
19% Home23% Draw58% Away
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 17 May 2026 · 8 min read

Heracles Almelo vs FC Groningen Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Eredivisie 17 May 2026

Already-relegated Heracles Almelo host a FC Groningen side looking to secure a top-half finish and potentially qualify for European competition

19%
23%
58%
Heracles Almelo
Draw 23%
FC Groningen

What's at Stake

Groningen's push for a European qualification spot has been dealt a setback with a recent defeat, but they will look to recover quickly and avoid slipping back into poor form. A win against Heracles would be a crucial step towards achieving their goals. With only one Eredivisie victory since the departure of Jizz Hornkamp, Heracles' struggles have been evident, and they will look to put a disappointing campaign behind them.

Form & Team News

Heracles' shot efficiency is a concern, with 56 shots per goal in their last 5 matches. In contrast, FC Groningen has a shot efficiency of 11.6. The visitors have also had 60% of their players in form, compared to Heracles' 50%.

This disparity in form and efficiency could be a deciding factor in the match.

Key Numbers
1.2
Heracles Almelo xG
vs
Expected Goals
2.0
FC Groningen xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The head-to-head record between the two teams is significant, with Groningen looking to end their poor run in Almelo. Heracles, on the other hand, will look to use their home advantage to secure a win and end their disappointing campaign on a high note. However, Groningen's superior form and goal difference suggest they have the upper hand.

Our Prediction

Groningen's ability to score goals, combined with Heracles' struggles to defend, makes a win for the visitors likely. Heracles has not celebrated a home win in over two months, and confidence has visibly drained from the team. The visitors will look to take advantage of this and secure a win.

AI Prediction
Away Win
Most likely: 1-1
58%
confidence

Key Stats

  • Heracles has the worst goal difference in the league with -49
  • Groningen has a goal difference of +3
  • Heracles has not celebrated a home win in over two months
  • Groningen has scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches
  • Heracles has scored just 1 goal in their last 5 matches
  • Groningen's shot efficiency is 11.6, compared to Heracles' 56.0
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