TSG Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Bundesliga 09 May 2026

TSG Hoffenheim (6th) welcome Werder Bremen (15th) in a Bundesliga fixture where both sides will be eager to climb the table. The hosts have 58 points on the board, while Werder Bremen sit on 32 — neither can afford to let standards slip with the business end of the season approaching.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 2.3 expected goals for TSG Hoffenheim and 0.9 for Werder Bremen, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

TSG Hoffenheim’s form coming into this match has been solid, averaging 1.8 points per game from their last five fixtures. The goals have been flowing — 10 in their last five matches — though 9 conceded does suggest some vulnerabilities at the back.

Werder Bremen arrive in fine fettle, averaging 0.9 points per game from their last five. However, their defensive record is a concern — 10 conceded in five games, a vulnerability TSG Hoffenheim will look to exploit.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. TSG Hoffenheim’s Elo rating (1542) is 144 points higher than Werder Bremen’s (1398), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

The historical record between TSG Hoffenheim and Werder Bremen will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.