BUNDESLIGA 2025/26
TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

Home
VS
Sat 14 Mar
14:30 GMT
VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg

Away
15% Home75% Draw11% Away
Full Time
1 - 1
Draw
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 14 Mar 2026 · 8 min read

TSG Hoffenheim vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Bundesliga 14 Mar 2026

Goals expected in this Bundesliga clash — our model projects 2.3 vs 0.8 xG with TSG Hoffenheim given a 71% chance.

15%
75%
11%
TSG Hoffenheim
Draw 75%
VfL Wolfsburg

What's at Stake

TSG Hoffenheim sit 3rd, inside the Champions League places, and will view this as an opportunity to consolidate their position. For VfL Wolfsburg in 17th, this is a chance to make a statement against one of the league’s top sides — the kind of result that can shift momentum for the rest of the campaign.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 2.3 expected goals for TSG Hoffenheim and 0.8 for VfL Wolfsburg, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Form & Team News

TSG Hoffenheim’s form coming into this match has been inconsistent, averaging 1.5 points per game from their last five fixtures. The goals have been flowing — 10 in their last five matches — though 10 conceded does suggest some vulnerabilities at the back.

VfL Wolfsburg arrive hoping to rediscover their best form, averaging 0.1 points per game from their last five. However, their defensive record is a concern — 13 conceded in five games, a vulnerability TSG Hoffenheim will look to exploit.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. TSG Hoffenheim’s Elo rating (1553) is 203 points higher than VfL Wolfsburg’s (1350), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

Key Numbers
2.3
TSG Hoffenheim xG
vs
Expected Goals
0.8
VfL Wolfsburg xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between TSG Hoffenheim and VfL Wolfsburg will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

PRO

Proven Models. Real Profits.

Our ML ensemble has delivered consistent profitable returns across Europe's biggest leagues — backed by 10 years of historical performance data.

+486%
30-Day ROI
12+
Markets
500+
Data Points / Game
1X2, O/U, BTTS, AH, DNB
Correct Score predictions
Value edge detection
Kelly-optimal stake sizing
Live in-game updates
Instant Telegram alerts

10 years of consistent performance · 10 leagues & growing · Updated daily

LAUNCH OFFER — 30 Days Free

Start 30-Day Free Trial

No credit card required · Then $25/mo