Hull City vs Birmingham City Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Championship 18 Apr 2026

Hull City (6th) welcome Birmingham City (15th) in a Championship fixture where both sides will be eager to climb the table. The hosts have 68 points on the board, while Birmingham City sit on 56 — neither can afford to let standards slip with the business end of the season approaching.

Don’t expect a goal-fest here. With a combined projected xG of 2.5, this has the makings of a cagey, tactical affair where defensive discipline could prove the difference.

Hull City’s form coming into this match has been blistering, averaging 0.9 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 5 and conceded 7 in their last five outings.

Birmingham City arrive in fine fettle, averaging 1.0 points per game from their last five. They’ve scored 4 and conceded 5 in their last five outings.

The historical record between Hull City and Birmingham City will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

This is about as tight as it gets in our predictions. Hull City are given a 33% chance, Birmingham City 35%, and the draw 31%. When the probabilities are this close, it’s a game that could go any way, and picking a winner with confidence is virtually impossible.

The expected goals model projects Hull City at 1.4 xG and Birmingham City at 1.1 xG. The most likely scoreline according to our Poisson model is 1-1 (13% probability), followed by 1-0 (10%).