FIFA WORLD CUP 2026
Japan

Japan

Home
VS
Thu 25 Jun
23:00 GMT
Sweden

Sweden

Away
58% Home18% Draw24% Away
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 25 Jun 2026 · 8 min read

Japan vs Sweden Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — FIFA World Cup 2026 25 Jun 2026

Sweden faces tough test against likely qualified Japan side

58%
18%
24%
Japan
Draw 18%
Sweden

What's at Stake

The outcome of this match will have significant implications for the group standings. If Sweden wins, they will likely move into second place, while a Japan victory would cement their position at the top of the group. The stakes are high, and both teams will be looking to give it their all.

Form & Team News

Sweden's star forwards, Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyokeres, have been in fine form, and their performances will be crucial in this match. Japan's shot efficiency has been impressive, with an average of 6.4 shots per goal in their last 5 matches.

Key Numbers
2.2
Japan xG
vs
Expected Goals
0.6
Sweden xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The two teams have not met recently, but Japan's 69% average possession in their last 5 matches suggests they will dominate the ball. Sweden will need to be clinical on the counter-attack to catch Japan off guard.

Our Prediction

Sweden will need to be at their best to take down Japan, but it's hard to see them winning against a team that has been so dominant in possession. Japan's defense has been solid, and they should be able to keep Sweden's attack at bay.

AI Prediction
Home Win
Most likely: 2-0
58%
confidence

Key Stats

  • Japan has scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches
  • Sweden has conceded 9 goals in their last 5 matches
  • Japan's Elo rating is 201 points higher than Sweden's
  • Japan has averaged 69% possession in their last 5 matches
  • Sweden has averaged 47% possession in their last 5 matches
  • Japan's shot efficiency is 6.4 shots per goal
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