SERIE A 2025/26
Juventus

Juventus

Home
VS
Sat 21 Mar
19:45 GMT
Sassuolo

Sassuolo

Away
9% Home86% Draw5% Away
Full Time
1 - 1
Draw
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 21 Mar 2026 · 8 min read

Juventus vs Sassuolo Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Serie A 21 Mar 2026

Goals expected in this Serie A clash — our model projects 2.4 vs 0.8 xG with Juventus given a 63% chance.

9%
86%
Juventus
Draw 86%
Sassuolo

What's at Stake

Juventus (5th) welcome Sassuolo (10th) in a Serie A fixture where both sides will be eager to climb the table. The hosts have 53 points on the board, while Sassuolo sit on 38 — neither can afford to let standards slip with the business end of the season approaching.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 2.4 expected goals for Juventus and 0.8 for Sassuolo, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Form & Team News

Juventus’s form coming into this match has been solid, averaging 1.8 points per game from their last five fixtures. The goals have been flowing — 10 in their last five matches — though 8 conceded does suggest some vulnerabilities at the back.

Sassuolo arrive averaging 1.4 points per game from their last five. They’ve scored 8 and conceded 5 in their last five outings.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. Juventus’s Elo rating (1576) is 113 points higher than Sassuolo’s (1462), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

Key Numbers
2.4
Juventus xG
vs
Expected Goals
0.8
Sassuolo xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between Juventus and Sassuolo will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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