Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Super Lig 19 Apr 2026

Kasımpaşa (13th) welcome Alanyaspor (12th) in a Super Lig fixture where both sides will be eager to climb the table. The hosts have 28 points on the board, while Alanyaspor sit on 33 — neither can afford to let standards slip with the business end of the season approaching.

Don’t expect a goal-fest here. With a combined projected xG of 2.4, this has the makings of a cagey, tactical affair where defensive discipline could prove the difference.

Kasımpaşa’s form coming into this match has been solid, averaging 1.6 points per game from their last five fixtures. The goals have been flowing — 8 in their last five matches — though 6 conceded does suggest some vulnerabilities at the back.

Alanyaspor arrive averaging 1.4 points per game from their last five. On the road they’ve been productive, scoring 9 in their last five while keeping things tight with just 4 conceded.

The historical record between Kasımpaşa and Alanyaspor will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

This is about as tight as it gets in our predictions. Kasımpaşa are given a 24% chance, Alanyaspor 37%, and the draw 37%. When the probabilities are this close, it’s a game that could go any way, and picking a winner with confidence is virtually impossible.

The expected goals model projects Kasımpaşa at 1.2 xG and Alanyaspor at 1.2 xG. The most likely scoreline according to our Poisson model is 1-1 (13% probability), followed by 0-1 (10%).