SUPER LIG 2025/26
Kasımpaşa

Kasımpaşa

Home
VS
Sun 03 May
17:00 GMT
Kocaelispor

Kocaelispor

Away
29% Home39% Draw32% Away
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 03 May 2026 · 8 min read

Kasımpaşa vs Kocaelispor Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Super Lig 03 May 2026

Kasımpaşa host Kocaelispor in a crucial Super Lig clash, with the home side looking to bounce back from a heavy defeat

29%
39%
32%
Kasımpaşa
Draw 39%
Kocaelispor

What's at Stake

The match has significant implications for the teams' season goals. Kasımpaşa are seeking to build on their solid home form, while Kocaelispor are looking to turn around their patchy away record. A win for either side would be a major confidence boost, while a loss could lead to a difficult run-in.

Form & Team News

Kasımpaşa's form has been boosted by their solid home record, with a 4-1-4-1 formation providing a solid base. Manager Sami Ugurlu will be looking to build on this, with his team seeking to exploit Kocaelispor's weaknesses on the road. Kocaelispor's shot efficiency has been a major concern, with 26.5 shots per goal in their last 5 matches.

Key Numbers
1.2
Kasımpaşa xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.1
Kocaelispor xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

Kasımpaşa's home record against Kocaelispor has been impressive, with the home side dominating recent meetings. Kocaelispor will need to be more resilient if they are to get a result, with Kasımpaşa's attacking threat likely to be a major concern.

Our Prediction

The match is likely to be a closely contested affair, with both teams seeking to exploit each other's weaknesses. Kasımpaşa's attacking threat will be a major concern for Kocaelispor, while the away side's defensive record will be a worry for the home team.

AI Prediction
Draw
Most likely: 1-1
39%
confidence

Key Stats

  • Kasımpaşa have scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches
  • Kocaelispor have scored just 2 goals in their last 5 matches
  • Kasımpaşa's shot efficiency is 4.9 shots per goal
  • Kocaelispor's shot efficiency is 26.5 shots per goal
  • Kasımpaşa's Elo rating is 1424
  • Kocaelispor's Elo rating is 1438
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