LIGUE 1 2025/26
Le Havre

Le Havre

Home
VS
Sat 28 Feb
20:05 GMT
Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain

Away
9% Home17% Draw74% Away
Full Time
0 - 1
Paris Saint Germain win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 28 Feb 2026 · 8 min read

Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Ligue 1 28 Feb 2026

Goals expected in this Ligue 1 clash — our model projects 0.9 vs 2.1 xG with Paris Saint Germain given a 74% chance.

9%
17%
74%
Le Havre
Draw 17%
Paris Saint Germain

What's at Stake

Paris Saint Germain sit 1st, top of the table, and will view this as an opportunity to consolidate their position. For Le Havre in 13th, this is a chance to make a statement against one of the league’s top sides — the kind of result that can shift momentum for the rest of the campaign.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 0.9 expected goals for Le Havre and 2.1 for Paris Saint Germain, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Form & Team News

Le Havre’s form coming into this match has been inconsistent, averaging 1.5 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 4 and conceded 5 in their last five outings.

Paris Saint Germain arrive in fine fettle, averaging 2.2 points per game from their last five. On the road they’ve been productive, scoring 12 in their last five while keeping things tight with just 4 conceded.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. Paris Saint Germain’s Elo rating (1649) is 185 points higher than Le Havre’s (1463), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

Key Numbers
0.9
Le Havre xG
vs
Expected Goals
2.1
Paris Saint Germain xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between Le Havre and Paris Saint Germain will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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