PREMIER LEAGUE 2025/26
Leeds United

Leeds United

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Tue 03 Mar
19:30 GMT
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15% Home62% Draw22% Away
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CalibrSports Research
Updated 03 Mar 2026 · 8 min read

Leeds United vs Sunderland Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Premier League 03 Mar 2026

Leeds United hosts Sunderland at Elland Road, looking to bounce back from a tough loss to Manchester City

15%
62%
22%
Leeds United
Draw 62%
Sunderland

What's at Stake

The stakes are high for both teams, with Leeds United sitting in 15th place and Sunderland in 12th. A win for Leeds could help them climb out of the relegation zone, while a Sunderland victory would keep them in the top half of the table. With 10 points separating them from the top six, a win is crucial for Sunderland's European ambitions.

Leeds, on the other hand, are 7 points clear of the drop zone but need to string together some wins to ensure safety.

Leeds are chasing a much-needed win to lift the pressure, while Sunderland aim to arrest a two-game losing slide. The Black Cats have been solid defensively, boasting a league-low shot conversion rate against them of just 8%. Leeds will need to be clinical in front of goal to break down Sunderland's stingy defense.

The Premier League table is congested, with several teams vying for position. A win for either side would be a significant boost to their season, and the pressure is on to perform. Leeds have a slight edge in the head-to-head record, but Sunderland's recent form has been decent, despite the two losses.

Both teams have a lot to play for, and the match promises to be an intense and closely contested affair. The outcome will have significant implications for the league table, and the teams will be giving it their all to come out on top.

The match is a must-win for both teams, and the tension will be palpable at Elland Road. Leeds need to win to climb the table, while Sunderland must win to keep their European dreams alive. The stage is set for a thrilling encounter, and the team that wants it more will likely come out on top.

Form & Team News

Leeds United have struggled to find consistency, scoring just 6 goals in their last 5 games while conceding 9. Sunderland, on the other hand, have scored 5 goals and conceded 8 in the same period. The Black Cats have been boosted by the return of Granit Xhaka from injury, who could provide a creative spark in midfield.

Leeds will need to be wary of Sunderland's counter-attacks, which have been effective in recent games.

Leeds have been working on their set pieces, which have been a weakness this season. They will need to be more clinical in front of goal, with Brenden Aaronson their top scorer with just 3 goals. Sunderland's Brian Brobbey will be looking to add to his tally of 5 goals this season, and Leeds will need to keep him quiet.

The return of Granit Xhaka is a significant boost for Sunderland, and he will be key to their chances of winning. Leeds, on the other hand, need to find a way to break down Sunderland's defense, which has been solid all season.

Key Numbers
1.4
Leeds United xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.1
Sunderland xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The head-to-head record between the two teams is evenly matched, with 3 draws in the last 5 meetings. Leeds have not lost to Sunderland in their last 4 games, and will be looking to extend that run. The last meeting between the two teams ended in a 1-1 draw at the Stadium of Light.

Sunderland have been difficult to beat, and Leeds will need to be at their best to come out on top. The Black Cats have a solid defense, and Leeds will need to find a way to break them down. The match promises to be a closely contested affair, with both teams creating chances.

The historical record suggests that the match will be a tight and tense affair, with both teams canceling each other out. However, Leeds have a slight edge in the head-to-head record, and will be looking to use that to their advantage.

Key Stats

  • Leeds have scored just 6 goals in their last 5 games
  • Sunderland have conceded 8 goals in their last 5 games
  • Granit Xhaka has 4 assists from line-breaking passes this season
  • Leeds have a 40.7% possession average this season
  • Sunderland have a league-low shot conversion rate against them of just 8%
  • Brenden Aaronson is Leeds' top scorer with 3 goals
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