Leicester City vs Millwall Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Championship 24 Apr 2026

Millwall sit 3rd, inside the Champions League places, and will view this as an opportunity to consolidate their position. For Leicester City in 22nd, this is a chance to make a statement against one of the league’s top sides — the kind of result that can shift momentum for the rest of the campaign.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 1.6 expected goals for Leicester City and 1.3 for Millwall, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Leicester City’s form coming into this match has been solid, averaging 0.5 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 5 and conceded 7 in their last five outings.

Millwall arrive in fine fettle, averaging 2.1 points per game from their last five. On the road they’ve been productive, scoring 8 in their last five while keeping things tight with just 4 conceded.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. Millwall’s Elo rating (1564) is 189 points higher than Leicester City’s (1374), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

The historical record between Leicester City and Millwall will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

This is about as tight as it gets in our predictions. Leicester City are given a 31% chance, Millwall 38%, and the draw 29%. When the probabilities are this close, it’s a game that could go any way, and picking a winner with confidence is virtually impossible.

The expected goals model projects Leicester City at 1.6 xG and Millwall at 1.3 xG. The most likely scoreline according to our Poisson model is 1-1 (12% probability), followed by 2-1 (9%).