Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Bundesliga 28 Feb 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen (6th) welcome FSV Mainz 05 (13th) in a Bundesliga fixture where both sides will be eager to climb the table. The hosts have 39 points on the board, while FSV Mainz 05 sit on 22 — neither can afford to let standards slip with the business end of the season approaching.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 1.8 expected goals for Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 1.0 for FSV Mainz 05, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen’s form coming into this match has been solid, averaging 1.7 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve been particularly impressive at both ends, scoring 9 goals and conceding just 3 in their last five.

FSV Mainz 05 arrive averaging 1.7 points per game from their last five. They’ve scored 8 and conceded 7 in their last five outings.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. Bayer 04 Leverkusen’s Elo rating (1532) is 92 points higher than FSV Mainz 05’s (1440), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

The historical record between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FSV Mainz 05 will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.