Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Bundesliga 04 Apr 2026

The stakes couldn’t be higher for VfL Wolfsburg, who sit 17th and hovering above the danger zone. Every point is precious at this stage of the season, and a defeat here could leave them staring at the very real prospect of the drop. Bayer 04 Leverkusen arrive knowing they can pile on the misery or hand a lifeline to their opponents.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 2.3 expected goals for Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 0.8 for VfL Wolfsburg, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen’s form coming into this match has been inconsistent, averaging 1.3 points per game from their last five fixtures. The goals have been flowing — 9 in their last five matches — though 8 conceded does suggest some vulnerabilities at the back.

VfL Wolfsburg arrive hoping to rediscover their best form, averaging 0.2 points per game from their last five. However, their defensive record is a concern — 11 conceded in five games, a vulnerability Bayer 04 Leverkusen will look to exploit.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. Bayer 04 Leverkusen’s Elo rating (1525) is 174 points higher than VfL Wolfsburg’s (1350), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

The historical record between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and VfL Wolfsburg will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.