LOSC Lille vs Auxerre Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Ligue 1 17 May 2026

LOSC Lille sit 3rd, inside the Champions League places, and will view this as an opportunity to consolidate their position. For Auxerre in 15th, this is a chance to make a statement against one of the league’s top sides — the kind of result that can shift momentum for the rest of the campaign.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 2.3 expected goals for LOSC Lille and 0.9 for Auxerre, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

LOSC Lille’s form coming into this match has been excellent, averaging 2.2 points per game from their last five fixtures. Defensively they’ve been resolute, conceding just 1 goals in five games, though 7 scored suggests they may need more cutting edge.

Auxerre arrive in fine fettle, averaging 1.9 points per game from their last five. They’ve scored 9 and conceded 7 in their last five outings.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. LOSC Lille’s Elo rating (1584) is 155 points higher than Auxerre’s (1428), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

The historical record between LOSC Lille and Auxerre will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

Our AI model makes LOSC Lille clear favourites here, giving them a 66% chance of winning. That leaves Auxerre with just a 11% probability of pulling off a result, while the draw sits at 21%. This is one of the more lopsided predictions of the matchday — the data sees a clear gap between these two sides.

The expected goals model projects LOSC Lille at 2.3 xG and Auxerre at 0.9 xG. The most likely scoreline according to our Poisson model is 2-0 (11% probability), followed by 2-1 (9%).