Liverpool vs Fulham Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Premier League 11 Apr 2026

Liverpool (5th) welcome Fulham (9th) in a Premier League fixture where both sides will be eager to climb the table. The hosts have 49 points on the board, while Fulham sit on 44 — neither can afford to let standards slip with the business end of the season approaching.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 1.7 expected goals for Liverpool and 1.1 for Fulham, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Liverpool’s form coming into this match has been blistering, averaging 1.0 points per game from their last five fixtures. The goals have been flowing — 9 in their last five matches — though 7 conceded does suggest some vulnerabilities at the back.

Fulham arrive in fine fettle, averaging 1.9 points per game from their last five. On the road they’ve been productive, scoring 8 in their last five while keeping things tight with just 4 conceded.

The historical record between Liverpool and Fulham will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

This is about as tight as it gets in our predictions. Liverpool are given a 41% chance, Fulham 25%, and the draw 33%. When the probabilities are this close, it’s a game that could go any way, and picking a winner with confidence is virtually impossible.

The expected goals model projects Liverpool at 1.7 xG and Fulham at 1.1 xG. The most likely scoreline according to our Poisson model is 1-1 (11% probability), followed by 2-1 (9%).